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1st named storm of 2025 season forms off Mexico’s coast
The first tropical storm of 2025 formed in the Pacific Ocean, off the southwestern coast of Mexico, on Thursday.
According to a National Hurricane Center advisory issued Thursday morning, Tropical Storm Alvin has formed several hundred miles south of southwestern Mexico. Satellite imagery also found that thunderstorm activity has increased within the center of the storm.
Tropical Storm Alvin is expected to continue moving northwestern on Thursday, then turn slightly more north-northwest on Friday. By Friday night, Alvin is expected to begin moving northward.
This is the first named tropical storm in the northern hemisphere this year. A “tropical storm” is classified as a more advanced tropical cyclone, with winds up to 73 miles per hour. The NHC gives names to tropical storms and hurricanes to make it easier to identify them if multiple storms are happening at once.
Where is Tropical Storm Alvin and what is its path?
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
As of 10 a.m. ET Thursday:
Alvin is located around 670 miles south-southeast of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.
The tropical storm currently has maximum sustained winds of 40 mph.
Sustained winds are expected to strengthen Thursday night but potentially weaken Friday afternoon.
The storm is moving northwest at 10 mph and is expected to continue in this direction Thursday.
Predictions for the 2025 hurricane season
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) released its predictions for the Atlantic hurricane season last week, anticipating an above-average season with roughly 13 to 19 storms, six to 10 of which will be hurricanes, including three to five major hurricanes (a Category 3, 4 or 5). Active hurricane season typically peaks between mid-August and mid-October.
Hurricane season is expected to be above average because of a number of factors, NOAA reported, including warmer-than-average ocean temperatures and high forecasts for weak wind shear.